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Wyoming Draw Odds Β· wyomingdrawodds.com/print/elk/051-1/

Elk Β· Area 51 Β· Type 1

Hunt type: Any elk Β· WGFD description: ANY ELK SOUTH AND WE
Last checked: draw reports 2026-10-23 Β· season regulations 2026-11-03 Β· Sources: WGFD Ch. 7 regulation Β· WGFD draw odds reports

Map of Elk Β· Area 51 Β· Type 1

Purple hatch = WGFD limitation-area polygon (where this hunt is valid) β€” β€œValid 51-1”. Black outline = this hunt area; thin gray = neighbouring hunt areas.
Hunt-area boundaries: WGFD ElkHuntAreas GIS layer. Limitation polygon: WGFD LimitationAreas2026_Final, downloaded 2026-11-03. Basemap Β© OpenFreeMap, Β© OpenStreetMap contributors. GIS overview only; the WGFD regulation text governs.

Part of area only WGFD limitation (exact text):

β€œAny elk south and west of the Clark's Fork River”

Season dates (2026)

Special archery datesRegular season datesLimitations
β€”Oct. 1 – Nov. 5Any elk south and west of the Clark's Fork River

Commission quota: 100 (total licenses for this hunt set in regulation; WGFD’s draw reports split licenses across resident / nonresident / special pools, so per-pool draw numbers on this site will not add up to this total in a simple way). Source: WGFD Commission Regulation Ch. 7, Elk Hunting Seasons (2026), PDF p. 8. Last checked 2026-11-03.

Draw odds (2026, first choice)

Applicants & licenses (2026)

PoolLicenses1st choice2nd3rdRatio estimateSource
nonresident Β· regular Β· random Β· Any elk232868230.6%WGFD PDF
nonresident Β· special Β· random Β· Any elk162981.6%WGFD PDF
resident Β· regular Β· all Β· Any elk82309774626.5%WGFD PDF
nonresident Β· landowner Β· random Β· Any elk4000n/aWGFD PDF
resident Β· landowner Β· all Β· Any elk84200100.0%WGFD PDF

Nonresident landowner Β· any elk preference point draw (2026) WGFD PDF

PointsLicenses leftIssued1st-choice appsSuccess (WGFD)
< 11200100.00%
01200100.00%

Nonresident regular Β· any elk preference point draw (2026) WGFD PDF

PointsLicenses leftIssued1st-choice appsSuccess (WGFD)
17733100.00%
< 17400100.00%
16444100.00%
< 1603280.00%

Nonresident special Β· any elk preference point draw (2026) WGFD PDF

PointsLicenses leftIssued1st-choice appsSuccess (WGFD)
< 16633100.00%
1533475.00%
< 150610.00%

Draw odds PDFs: https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33774/download?inline Β· https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33775/download?inline Β· https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33776/download?inline Β· https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33777/download?inline Β· https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33778/download?inline Β· https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33779/download?inline Β· https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33893/download?inline Β· https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33894/download?inline

Trend & 2027 outlook

Estimate based on past WGFD draw results, not a WGFD prediction. Straight-line fit through every year with data (needs 3+ years). 2027 quotas are not set yet; quota changes and new regulations can change everything.

Nonresident Β· landowner

  • Points for a sure draw: not enough history (0 yrs; need 3)
  • Odds: not enough history (0 yrs; need 3) (random-draw share)
  • 1st-choice applicants: 0 (2024) β†’ 0 (2025) β†’ 0 (2026); licenses: 4 (2024) β†’ 4 (2025) β†’ 4 (2026)

Nonresident Β· regular

  • ↑ Points for a sure draw: 12 (2021) β†’ … β†’ 17 (2025) β†’ 16 (2026), 6 yrs Β· 2027: likely 16–18 pts
  • β†’ Odds: 2% (2021) β†’ … β†’ 1% (2025) β†’ 1% (2026), 6 yrs Β· 2027: likely about 1% (random-draw share)
  • 1st-choice applicants: 113 (2021) β†’ 110 (2022) β†’ 88 (2023) β†’ 200 (2024) β†’ 228 (2025) β†’ 328 (2026); licenses: 2 (2021) β†’ 2 (2022) β†’ 2 (2023) β†’ 2 (2024) β†’ 2 (2025) β†’ 2 (2026)
Points needed by year, 2027 estimate dashed
2021: 12122022: 14142023: 16162024: 13132025: 17172026: 16162027 estimate: 16–18estimate2021202220232024202520262027
Odds (%) by year, 2027 estimate dashed
2021: 2%2%2022: 2%2%2023: 2%2%2024: 1%1%2025: 1%1%2026: 1%1%2027 estimate: about 1%estimate2021202220232024202520262027

Nonresident Β· special

  • ↑ Lowest points that drew: 12 (2021) β†’ … β†’ 10 (2025) β†’ 15 (2026), 6 yrs Β· 2027: likely 14–15 pts
  • β†’ Odds: 2% (2021) β†’ … β†’ 4% (2025) β†’ 2% (2026), 6 yrs Β· 2027: likely about 2% (random-draw share)
  • 1st-choice applicants: 43 (2021) β†’ 28 (2022) β†’ 42 (2023) β†’ 25 (2024) β†’ 51 (2025) β†’ 62 (2026); licenses: 1 (2021) β†’ 1 (2022) β†’ 1 (2023) β†’ 2 (2024) β†’ 2 (2025) β†’ 1 (2026)
  • ⚠ Quota changed 2 β†’ 1 from 2025 to 2026 β€” a quota change can break the trend.
Points needed by year, 2027 estimate dashed
2021: 12122022: 12122023: 14142024: 15152025: 10102026: 15152027 estimate: 14–15estimate2021202220232024202520262027
Odds (%) by year, 2027 estimate dashed
2021: 2%2%2022: 4%4%2023: 2%2%2024: 8%8%2025: 4%4%2026: 2%2%2027 estimate: about 2%estimate2021202220232024202520262027

Resident Β· landowner

  • β†’ Odds: 100% (2024) β†’ 100% (2025) β†’ 100% (2026), 3 yrs Β· 2027: likely about 100%
  • 1st-choice applicants: 1 (2024) β†’ 1 (2025) β†’ 2 (2026); licenses: 101 (2024) β†’ 101 (2025) β†’ 84 (2026)
  • ⚠ Quota changed 101 β†’ 84 from 2025 to 2026 β€” a quota change can break the trend.
Odds (%) by year, 2027 estimate dashed
2024: 100%100%2025: 100%100%2026: 100%100%2027 estimate: about 100%estimate2024202520262027

Resident Β· regular

  • β†’ Odds: 29% (2021) β†’ … β†’ 35% (2025) β†’ 27% (2026), 6 yrs Β· 2027: likely about 27%
  • 1st-choice applicants: 287 (2021) β†’ 261 (2022) β†’ 240 (2023) β†’ 297 (2024) β†’ 285 (2025) β†’ 309 (2026); licenses: 82 (2021) β†’ 82 (2022) β†’ 82 (2023) β†’ 100 (2024) β†’ 100 (2025) β†’ 82 (2026)
  • ⚠ Quota changed 100 β†’ 82 from 2025 to 2026 β€” a quota change can break the trend.
Odds (%) by year, 2027 estimate dashed
2021: 29%29%2022: 31%31%2023: 34%34%2024: 34%34%2025: 35%35%2026: 27%27%2027 estimate: about 27%estimate2021202220232024202520262027

Unofficial planning sheet printed from wyomingdrawodds.com. The Wyoming Game and Fish Department (wgfd.wyo.gov) is the authority on draw results, odds, fees, deadlines and regulations. Always verify with WGFD before applying or hunting.