Elk · Area 51 · Type 2
Showing:
Purple hatch = WGFD limitation-area polygon (where this hunt is valid) — “Valid 51-2”. Black outline = this hunt area; thin gray = neighbouring hunt areas.
Hunt-area boundaries: WGFD ElkHuntAreas GIS layer. Limitation polygon: WGFD LimitationAreas2026_Final, downloaded 2026-11-03. Basemap © OpenFreeMap, © OpenStreetMap contributors. GIS overview only; the WGFD regulation text governs.
Part of area only WGFD limitation (exact text):
“Any elk north and east of the Clark's Fork River”
Season dates (2026)
| Special archery dates | Regular season dates | Limitations |
|---|---|---|
| — | Oct. 1 – Nov. 5 | Any elk north and east of the Clark's Fork River |
Commission quota: 30 (total licenses for this hunt set in regulation; WGFD’s draw reports split licenses across resident / nonresident / special pools, so per-pool draw numbers on this site will not add up to this total in a simple way). Source: WGFD Commission Regulation Ch. 7, Elk Hunting Seasons (2026), PDF p. 8. Last checked 2026-11-03.
Draw odds (2026, first choice)
- Nonresident landowner · any elk applicants with 0+ points all drew in 2026 (first choice).
- Nonresident regular · any elk applicants with 11+ points all drew in 2026 (first choice).
- No nonresident special · any elk point level was guaranteed in 2026; best was 40% at 7 points.
- Resident regular · any elk: 25 licenses for 82 first-choice applicants — roughly 30% estimate.
Applicants & licenses (2026)
| Pool | Licenses | 1st choice | 2nd | 3rd | Ratio estimate | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nonresident · regular · random · Any elk | 0 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 0.0% | WGFD PDF |
| nonresident · special · random · Any elk | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | WGFD PDF |
| resident · regular · all · Any elk | 25 | 82 | 40 | 13 | 30.5% | WGFD PDF |
| nonresident · landowner · random · Any elk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | n/a | WGFD PDF |
| resident · landowner · all · Any elk | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | n/a | WGFD PDF |
Nonresident landowner · any elk preference point draw (2026) WGFD PDF
| Points | Licenses left | Issued | 1st-choice apps | Success (WGFD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 100.00% |
Nonresident regular · any elk preference point draw (2026) WGFD PDF
| Points | Licenses left | Issued | 1st-choice apps | Success (WGFD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100.00% |
| < 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| < 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100.00% |
| < 11 | 0 | 22 | 0.00% |
Nonresident special · any elk preference point draw (2026) WGFD PDF
| Points | Licenses left | Issued | 1st-choice apps | Success (WGFD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 40.00% |
| < 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% |
Draw odds PDFs: https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33774/download?inline · https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33775/download?inline · https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33776/download?inline · https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33777/download?inline · https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33778/download?inline · https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33779/download?inline · https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33893/download?inline · https://wgfd.wyo.gov/media/33894/download?inline
Trend & 2027 outlook
Estimate based on past WGFD draw results, not a WGFD prediction. Straight-line fit through every year with data (needs 3+ years). 2027 quotas are not set yet; quota changes and new regulations can change everything.
Nonresident · landowner
- → Points for a sure draw: 0 (2024) → 0 (2025) → 0 (2026), 3 yrs · 2027: likely about 0 pts
- Odds: not enough history (0 yrs; need 3) (random-draw share)
- 1st-choice applicants: 0 (2024) → 0 (2025) → 0 (2026); licenses: 1 (2024) → 1 (2025) → 1 (2026)
Nonresident · regular
- ↑ Points for a sure draw: 9 (2021) → … → 7 (2025) → 11 (2026), 6 yrs · 2027: likely 11–12 pts
- → Odds: 0% (2021) → … → 0% (2025) → 0% (2026), 6 yrs · 2027: likely about 0% (random-draw share)
- 1st-choice applicants: 30 (2021) → 9 (2022) → 19 (2023) → 13 (2024) → 8 (2025) → 22 (2026); licenses: 0 (2021) → 0 (2022) → 0 (2023) → 0 (2024) → 0 (2025) → 0 (2026)
Nonresident · special
- → Lowest points that drew: 5 (2021) → … → 6 (2025) → 7 (2026), 6 yrs · 2027: likely about 7 pts
- → Odds: 0% (2021) → … → 0% (2025) → 0% (2026), 6 yrs · 2027: likely about 0% (random-draw share)
- 1st-choice applicants: 2 (2021) → 6 (2022) → 2 (2023) → 2 (2024) → 1 (2025) → 4 (2026); licenses: 0 (2021) → 0 (2022) → 0 (2023) → 0 (2024) → 0 (2025) → 0 (2026)
Resident · landowner
- Odds: not enough history (0 yrs; need 3)
- 1st-choice applicants: 0 (2024) → 0 (2025) → 0 (2026); licenses: 34 (2024) → 34 (2025) → 25 (2026)
- ⚠ Quota changed 34 → 25 from 2025 to 2026 — a quota change can break the trend.
Resident · regular
- ↓ Odds: 52% (2021) → … → 41% (2025) → 30% (2026), 6 yrs · 2027: likely 30–31%
- 1st-choice applicants: 66 (2021) → 65 (2022) → 61 (2023) → 76 (2024) → 82 (2025) → 82 (2026); licenses: 34 (2021) → 34 (2022) → 34 (2023) → 34 (2024) → 34 (2025) → 25 (2026)
- ⚠ Quota changed 34 → 25 from 2025 to 2026 — a quota change can break the trend.